Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
40.46% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( 0.01) | 30.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.7% ( -0.03) | 63.3% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.32% ( -0.02) | 82.68% ( 0.03) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( -0.02) | 66.94% ( 0.03) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.49% ( -0.02) | 37.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.71% ( -0.02) | 74.29% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 30.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |