Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.3%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 4-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.34%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
87.3% (![]() | 9.14% (![]() | 3.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 38.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.67% (![]() | 30.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.41% (![]() | 51.59% (![]() |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.42% (![]() | 4.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.29% (![]() | 18.71% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.2% (![]() | 59.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.45% (![]() | 90.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
3-0 @ 13.38% (![]() 2-0 @ 13.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 10.31% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 87.28% | 1-1 @ 4.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 9.14% | 0-1 @ 1.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 1.04% Total : 3.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
8 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
9 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |