Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 38.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.18%) and 1-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
38.88% | 22.18% ( -0) | 38.93% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 68.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.41% | 31.58% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.92% | 53.07% ( 0) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% | 17.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.6% ( -0) | 47.39% ( 0) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0) | 17.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( 0) | 47.35% |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 4.74% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.29% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.46% Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.19% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.3% Total : 38.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |