We said: St Mirren 3-1 Kelty Hearts
While Kelty Hearts fans and many football neutrals will be rooting for another Scottish Cup upset on Saturday, St Mirren are understandably the strong favourites to come out on top. Goodwin is set to name a strong side which should have enough quality to see off their fourth-tier counterparts and book their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 52.03% | 24.1% | 23.87% |
| Both teams to score 53.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% | 47.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% | 70.16% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% | 18.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.41% | 49.58% |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% | 34.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 52.03%
Kelty Hearts 23.87%
Draw 24.1%
| St Mirren | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.03% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.87% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Kelty Hearts
St Mirren
100%Draw
0.0%Kelty Hearts
0.0%5
Form Guide
