Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.