Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.