Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.