Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
40.28% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( 0) | 34.32% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.04% ( -0.01) | 69.96% ( 0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.01) | 23.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -0.02) | 57.53% ( 0.02) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.21% ( -0) | 26.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% | 62.07% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |