Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.