Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alcorcon in this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Villarreal II
58.34% ( -0.05)	25.23% ( 0.09)	16.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 39.67% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.43% (

-0.31)

60.57% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.33% (

-0.23)

80.67% (

0.23)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.14)

20.84% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.47% (

-0.23)

53.52% (

0.23)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.12% (

-0.23)

49.88% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.42% (

-0.16)

84.57% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 58.34%

Villarreal II 16.43%

Draw 25.21%

Alcorcon	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 16.3% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.43%