Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.