Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Valladolid2 - 1Amorebieta
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Valladolid and Amorebieta.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Valladolid
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Amorebieta
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Amorebieta |
58.8% ( 0.51) | 23.26% ( 0.12) | 17.94% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 47.47% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.4% ( -1.34) | 51.6% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.61% ( -1.17) | 73.39% ( 1.17) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.3) | 17.26% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% ( -0.53) | 47.58% ( 0.53) |
Amorebieta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.37% ( -1.52) | 42.63% ( 1.52) |