Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	0	0	0
2	Atalanta BC	0	0	0
3	Bologna	0	0	0

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Spezia	0	0	0
19	Torino	0	0	0
20	Udinese	0	0	0

Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
66.5% ( -0.04)	20.2% ( 0.02)	13.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.36% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.07)

47.49% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.07)

69.7% (

0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

-0.04)

13.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69% (

-0.07)

40.31% (

0.07)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52% (

-0.02)

46.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

-0.02)

82.08% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.49%

Udinese 13.3%

Draw 20.2%

AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 12.57% 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.2%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.3%