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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Spezia

Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-1 Spezia

Spezia's fight for survival may go down to the final 90 minutes of a testing campaign - depending on the results of their fellow strugglers - as they are likely to return from Friuli empty-handed, given an away record which features just four wins from 18 previous attempts. Also conceding at a rate of over two goals per game on the road, the Aquilotti are set to be denied even a precious point by their hosts, who have improved offensively of late and tend to make the most of home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
61.62% (0.089000000000006 0.09) 20.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.58% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)34.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)71.5% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 61.62%
    Spezia 18.07%
    Draw 20.3%
UdineseDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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