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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Milan logo

Sassuolo
0 - 3
AC Milan


Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

Only Inter have attempted more shots than Sassuolo (299) and AC Milan (296) in the second half of this Serie A season, so in normal circumstances, this encounter may be an open affair with a series of chances at either end. While the home side rarely hold anything back, thanks to the potency of their four-man forward line, the Rossoneri have their eyes fixed on the main prize and are likely to take a relatively cautious approach - which has often served them well as they moved to within touching distance of the Scudetto. It is their pace and power on the counter which could ultimately prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
26.61% (1.071 1.07) 22.77% (0.276 0.28) 50.62% (-1.352 -1.35)
Both teams to score 60.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-0.355 -0.36)39.57% (0.35 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-0.37 -0.37)61.92% (0.364 0.36)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.61 0.61)27.77% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.771 0.77)63.35% (-0.77699999999999 -0.78)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.596 -0.6)15.82% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-1.108 -1.11)44.99% (1.103 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 26.61%
    AC Milan 50.62%
    Draw 22.76%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.197 0.2)
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 26.61%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.62%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sassuolo
12.1%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
71.0%
107
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')
Jul 21, 2020 8.45pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Caputo (42' pen.)
Bourabia (22'), Locatelli (34')
Bourabia (45+7')
Ibrahimovic (19', 45+2')
Hernandez (38'), Bennacer (61'), Laxalt (76'), Bonaventura (85')
Dec 15, 2019 2pm
AC Milan
0-0
Sassuolo

Hernandez (29'), Musacchio (40'), Kessie (43'), Bonaventura (72'), Paqueta (93')

Toljan (10'), Caputo (39'), Locatelli (72'), Santos (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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