Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.