Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Oct 24, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
1 - 3
Sampdoria

Zapata (80' pen.)
Mojica (44'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Quagliarella (13'), Thorsby (59'), Jankto (90+1')
Tonelli (31'), Yoshida (47'), Balde (69'), Jankto (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday afternoon's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Sampdoria, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Sampdoria
62.35%	19.4%	18.25%

Both teams to score 61.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08%

33.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23%

55.77%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.52%

10.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.88%

34.11%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82%

68.18%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 62.35%

Sampdoria 18.25%

Draw 19.4%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 7.31% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.28% Total : 62.35%	1-1 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.4%	1-2 @ 4.94% 0-1 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.29% Total : 18.25%