Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.08% | 24.47% | 43.45% |
Both teams to score 58.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% | 66.59% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.61% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% | 20.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% | 52.93% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |