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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
1 - 4
Atalanta

Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
32.08%24.47%43.45%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41%66.59%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07%52.93%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.08%
    Atalanta BC 43.45%
    Draw 24.46%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.45%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 19, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-3
Atalanta
Immobile (69' pen., 93' pen.), Correa (70')
Marusic (27'), Parolo (32'), Lulic (49'), Milinkovic-Savic (80'), Immobile (93')
Muriel (23', 28'), Papu (37')
Gollini (58'), Toloi (60')
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
May 5, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
1-3
Atalanta
Parolo (3')
Bastos (26'), Caicedo (41'), Leiva (60'), Correa (87')
Zapata (22'), Castagne (58'), Wallace (76' og.)
Masiello (36'), Papu (54'), Mancini (83')
Dec 17, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
1-0
Lazio
Zapata (1')
Zapata (50'), Djimsiti (88')

Parolo (38'), Wallace (62'), Lukaku (87'), Acerbi (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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