Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Brescia win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
