Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 30, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 2
AC Milan

Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
23.45%	21.85%	54.7%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.7%

38.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.42%

60.58%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48%

29.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46%

65.54%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99%

14.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.45%

41.55%

Score Analysis

Bologna 23.45%

AC Milan 54.7%

Draw 21.85%

Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.15% Total : 23.45%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 3.14% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.7%