Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 25.53% | 24.77% | 49.7% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% | 49.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% | 71.37% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% | 33.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.56% | 70.43% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% | 19.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.02% | 51.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 25.53%
Bologna 49.69%
Draw 24.77%
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.53% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.69% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Bologna
Genoa
37.8%Draw
18.9%Bologna
43.2%74
