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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
0 - 3
Atalanta


Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
30.49%22.72%46.79%
Both teams to score 64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36%36.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2%58.8%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49%45.51%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 30.49%
    Atalanta BC 46.79%
    Draw 22.72%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 5.5%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 5.58%
2-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.79%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
71.8%
Draw
18.8%
Atalanta BC
9.4%
308
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-3
AC Milan
Freuler (33')
de Roon (18')
Piatek (45', 61'), Calhanoglu (55')
Suso (27'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 23, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Higuain (2'), Bonaventura (61')
Calabria (51'), Higuain (66')
Papu (54'), Rigoni (90')
Papu (78')
May 13, 2018 5pm
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Masiello (90')
Masiello (13'), de Roon (28'), Toloi (64'), Gosens (73'), Ilicic (86')
Toloi (65')
Kessie (60')
Abate (17'), Kalinic (32'), Calhanoglu (66'), Romagnoli (69'), Borini (87'), Donnarumma (90')
Montolivo (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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