Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
50.27% | 23.32% | 26.41% |
Both teams to score 58.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% | 42.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% | 64.69% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.97% | 47.02% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% | 29.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% | 65.32% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.29% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |