Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
49.33% | 24.4% | 26.26% |
Both teams to score 54.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% | 69.44% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% | 19.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% | 32.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% | 68.52% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |