Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
36.52% | 25.44% | 38.04% |
Both teams to score 56.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% | 69.89% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% | 25.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% | 60.3% |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% | 24.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% | 59.15% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 38 | 64 |
2 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 58 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Juventus | 29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 52 |
6 | Lazio | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
7 | Roma | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 49 |
8 | Fiorentina | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 48 |
9 | AC Milan | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 38 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Como | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 29 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 26 |
16 | Parma | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 25 |
17 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 25 |
18 | Empoli | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 20 |
20 | Monza | 29 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |