Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Spezia2 - 2Fiorentina
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 45.47% | 24.38% | 30.15% |
| Both teams to score 57.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
