We said: Genoa 1-1 Sampdoria
This is a big match for both sides, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Friday. Genoa would move out of the relegation zone with all three points, but it is difficult to back them with any real confidence at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would be a frustrating result for both managers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Sampdoria |
30.94% | 26.24% | 42.82% |
Both teams to score 52.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% | 52.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% | 73.99% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% | 31.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% | 67.56% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% | 24.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% | 58.57% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa 30.94%
Sampdoria 42.82%
Draw 26.24%
Genoa | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.82% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Sampdoria
Genoa
36.7%Draw
30.8%Sampdoria
32.5%120
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jul 22, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Dec 14, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria