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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria logo

Genoa
1 - 3
Sampdoria

Destro (78')
Ghiglione (84'), Sturaro (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gabbiadini (7'), Caputo (49'), Vanheusden (67' og.)
Thorsby (34'), Chabot (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Genoa 1-1 Sampdoria

This is a big match for both sides, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Friday. Genoa would move out of the relegation zone with all three points, but it is difficult to back them with any real confidence at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would be a frustrating result for both managers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawSampdoria
30.94%26.24%42.82%
Both teams to score 52.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7%52.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79%31.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42%58.57%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 30.94%
    Sampdoria 42.82%
    Draw 26.24%
GenoaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.82%

How you voted: Genoa vs Sampdoria

Genoa
36.7%
Draw
30.8%
Sampdoria
32.5%
120
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Zappacosta (52')
Badelj (34')
Tonelli (77')
Nov 26, 2020 4pm
Fourth Round
Sampdoria
1-3
Genoa
Verre (18')
Silva (26'), Yoshida (26'), Leris (62')
Scamacca (60', 72'), Lerager (68')
Zapata (13'), Sturaro (43'), Pellegrini (69'), Scamacca (75')
Nov 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jankto (23')
Quagliarella (5'), Thorsby (29'), Ekdal (38'), Jankto (59'), Bereszynski (86')
Scamacca (28')
Goldaniga (18')
Jul 22, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Gabbiadini (32')
Colley (21'), Bereszynski (45+2'), Vieira (46'), Jankto (74')
Criscito (22' pen.), Lerager (72')
Lerager (42'), Biraschi (68')
Dec 14, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria

Ghiglione (8'), Cassata (22'), Criscito (46'), Romero (82'), Cleonise (92')
Gabbiadini (85')
Vieira (26'), Ramirez (53'), Colley (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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