Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.