Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Bologna

Bonazzoli (88')
Ekdal (57'), Tonelli (66'), Depaoli (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (72' pen.), Orsolini (75')
Medel (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Bologna, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Bologna
37.32%	25.32%	37.36%

Both teams to score 56.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88%

47.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64%

69.36%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24%

24.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67%

59.33%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7%

59.3%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 37.32%

Bologna 37.36%

Draw 25.32%

Sampdoria	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.32%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.36%