Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.