Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 2
Crotone

Milinkovic-Savic (14'), Alberto (39'), Caicedo (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simy (29', 50' pen.)
Djidji (53'), Rispoli (79'), Petriccione (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Crotone
67.57%	18.64%	13.79%

Both teams to score 52.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58%

39.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.23%

61.76%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.27%

10.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.32%

34.67%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.34%

40.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.75%

77.25%

Score Analysis

Lazio 67.56%

Crotone 13.79%

Draw 18.64%

Lazio	Draw	Crotone
2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 4.51% 4-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.3% Total : 67.56%	1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.4% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.64%	1-2 @ 3.94% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.79%