Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Crotone |
| 67.57% | 18.64% | 13.79% |
| Both teams to score 52.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% | 39.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% | 61.76% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% | 10.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.32% | 34.67% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% | 40.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 67.56%
Crotone 13.79%
Draw 18.64%
| Lazio | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 4.51% 4-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.3% Total : 67.56% | 1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.4% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.79% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Crotone
Lazio
90.0%Draw
7.5%Crotone
2.5%80
Head to Head
May 13, 2018 2pm
Dec 23, 2017 11.30am
May 28, 2017 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2017 2pm
