Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Crotone |
67.57% | 18.64% | 13.79% |
Both teams to score 52.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.23% | 61.76% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.27% | 10.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.32% | 34.67% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.34% | 40.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% | 77.25% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Crotone |
2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 4.51% 4-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.3% Total : 67.56% | 1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.4% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |