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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Crotone logo

Spezia
3 - 2
Crotone

Verde (63'), Maggiore (89'), Erlic (90+2')
Ismajli (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djidji (40'), Simy (78')
Reca (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCrotone
56.55%22.72%20.73%
Both teams to score 53.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85%45.15%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93%36.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15%72.85%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 56.54%
    Crotone 20.73%
    Draw 22.71%
SpeziaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.7%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 5.94%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Spezia vs Crotone

Spezia
57.9%
Draw
18.4%
Crotone
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Crotone
4-1
Spezia
Messias (7', 90+6'), Reca (49'), Henrique (56')
Messias (33'), Henrique (34'), Magallan (70')
Farias (18')
Chabot (3'), Ferrer (22'), Maggiore (64')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Crotone
1-2
Spezia
Lopez (47' pen.)
Simy (29'), Golemic (89'), Messias (90'), Marrone (94')
Messias (95')
N'Zola (34'), Ragusa (78')
Ricci (38'), Ferrer (47'), Gyasi (53'), Mora (84')
Aug 31, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 2
Spezia
1-2
Crotone
Ricci (44')
Simy (24' pen., 29')
Barberis (57'), Molina (80'), Zanellato (90')
May 4, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 37
Spezia
2-0
Crotone
Galabinov (25'), Bidaoui (81')
Mora (90')

Vaisanen (31'), Milic (39'), Zanellato (45')
Dec 27, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crotone
0-3
Spezia

Molina (70'), Golemic (81')
De Francesco (13'), Pierini (79', 90')
Vignali (57'), Crivello (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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