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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Crotone logo

Spezia
3 - 2
Crotone

Verde (63'), Maggiore (89'), Erlic (90+2')
Ismajli (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djidji (40'), Simy (78')
Reca (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCrotone
56.55%22.72%20.73%
Both teams to score 53.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85%45.15%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93%36.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15%72.85%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 56.54%
    Crotone 20.73%
    Draw 22.71%
SpeziaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.7%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 5.94%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Spezia vs Crotone

Spezia
57.9%
Draw
18.4%
Crotone
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Crotone
4-1
Spezia
Messias (7', 90+6'), Reca (49'), Henrique (56')
Messias (33'), Henrique (34'), Magallan (70')
Farias (18')
Chabot (3'), Ferrer (22'), Maggiore (64')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Crotone
1-2
Spezia
Lopez (47' pen.)
Simy (29'), Golemic (89'), Messias (90'), Marrone (94')
Messias (95')
N'Zola (34'), Ragusa (78')
Ricci (38'), Ferrer (47'), Gyasi (53'), Mora (84')
Aug 31, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 2
Spezia
1-2
Crotone
Ricci (44')
Simy (24' pen., 29')
Barberis (57'), Molina (80'), Zanellato (90')
May 4, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 37
Spezia
2-0
Crotone
Galabinov (25'), Bidaoui (81')
Mora (90')

Vaisanen (31'), Milic (39'), Zanellato (45')
Dec 27, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crotone
0-3
Spezia

Molina (70'), Golemic (81')
De Francesco (13'), Pierini (79', 90')
Vignali (57'), Crivello (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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