Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma5 - 2Benevento
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Benevento |
| 48.32% | 23.13% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
