Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma5 - 2Benevento
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Benevento |
| 48.32% | 23.13% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% | 39.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% | 62.19% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% | 16.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.33% | 46.66% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% | 26.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.24% | 61.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 48.33%
Benevento 28.54%
Draw 23.13%
| Roma | Draw | Benevento |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.54% |
