Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
34.62% | 24.63% | 40.75% |
Both teams to score 58.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% | 66.59% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% | 24.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% | 59.54% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% | 21.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% | 54.88% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |