Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 1-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.