Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Napoli
44.19%	24.77%	31.04%

Both teams to score 57.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04%

45.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73%

68.27%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14%

20.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44%

53.56%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.59%

Score Analysis

Roma 44.19%

Napoli 31.04%

Draw 24.77%

Roma	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.04%