Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
| 18.88% | 21.51% | 59.61% |
| Both teams to score 54.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% | 65.27% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% | 36.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.79% | 73.21% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.47% | 41.53% |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 18.88%
Napoli 59.6%
Draw 21.51%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.88% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.86% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 6.46% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 3.21% 0-4 @ 3.18% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.6% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Napoli
Fiorentina
22.5%Draw
21.7%Napoli
55.8%129
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
0-2
Napoli
Feb 9, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
