Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
41.74% | 26.4% | 31.86% |
Both teams to score 51.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% | 52.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% | 24.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% | 59.55% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.98% | 67.02% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |