Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
41.74% | 26.4% | 31.86% |
Both teams to score 51.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% | 52.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% | 24.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% | 59.55% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.98% | 67.02% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |