Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
44.75% | 25.3% | 29.95% |
Both teams to score 54.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% | 48.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% | 70.87% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% | 21.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% | 54.98% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% | 30.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% | 66.25% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Monza | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
19 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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