Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.