Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
