Serie B | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Catanzaro2 - 2Cremonese
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
We said: Catanzaro 1-1 Cremonese
A 36-year wait for Serie A football has left Catanzaro fans desperate for a top-flight return, but having only shot up from the third tier last season, they may find the playoffs one step too far. Cremonese can come away from the Ceravolo with a draw for the second time this term, setting up a chance to win the tie on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Cremonese |
31.11% ( 0.26) | 25.3% ( 0.07) | 43.58% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.19) | 48.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.18) | 70.43% ( 0.18) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( 0.08) | 29.07% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.02% ( 0.1) | 64.98% ( -0.1) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.24) | 22.12% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.36) | 55.49% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Catanzaro 31.11%
Cremonese 43.58%
Draw 25.3%
| Catanzaro | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.58% |
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
