Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B
We said: Cremonese 1-0 Catanzaro (Cremonese advance 3-2 on aggregate)
Cremonese conceded the fewest home goals in Serie B's regular season (15), aided by a six-match sequence without conceding, and the hosts should capitalise on their strength in front of their supporters to secure a place in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Catanzaro |
61.47% ( 0.09) | 21.59% ( 0.06) | 16.94% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.53) | 46.37% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.5) | 68.65% ( 0.5) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.15) | 14.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.37% ( -0.28) | 42.63% ( 0.28) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.51) | 40.74% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.67% ( -0.46) | 77.32% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Cremonese 61.46%
Catanzaro 16.94%
Draw 21.59%
| Cremonese | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.46% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.94% |
How you voted: Cremonese vs Catanzaro
Cremonese
94.1%Draw
5.9%Catanzaro
0.0%17
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
Form Guide
