Serie B | 2nd Leg

May 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
4 - 1
Catanzaro

(Cremonese win 6-3 on aggregate)

Vazquez (12'), Buonaiuto (19'), Coda (37'), Sernicola (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Antonini (80')
Antonini (44'), Scognamillo (55'), Pompetti (66')
Brignola (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie B clash between Cremonese and Catanzaro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Catanzaro

All competitions

Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, May 21 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cremonese 1-0 Catanzaro (Cremonese advance 3-2 on aggregate)

Cremonese conceded the fewest home goals in Serie B's regular season (15), aided by a six-match sequence without conceding, and the hosts should capitalise on their strength in front of their supporters to secure a place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Catanzaro
61.47% ( 0.09)	21.59% ( 0.06)	16.94% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

-0.53)

46.37% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

-0.5)

68.65% (

0.5)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0.15)

14.57% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

-0.28)

42.63% (

0.28)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.25% (

-0.51)

40.74% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.67% (

-0.46)

77.32% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 61.46%

Catanzaro 16.94%

Draw 21.59%

Cremonese	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.46%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.59%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.94%