Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Cittadella3 - 1Bari
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Bari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Cittadella
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Cittadella win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Bari |
27.16% ( -0.07) | 27.71% ( -0.03) | 45.13% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% ( 0.07) | 59.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( 0.06) | 79.78% ( -0.06) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.03) | 37.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.02) | 74.65% ( 0.02) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.09) | 26.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% ( 0.12) | 61.37% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Cittadella 27.16%
Bari 45.13%
Draw 27.7%
| Cittadella | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 13.3% 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 45.13% |
How you voted: Cittadella vs Bari
Cittadella
57.1%Draw
0.0%Bari
42.9%7
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 2pm
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
May 1, 2023 2pm
Dec 8, 2022 2pm
