Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.