Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benevento in this match.
