Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Como had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.