Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
