Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.