Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.