Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Brescia win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
